The correct result of every Premier League Gameweek 29 fixture revealed, according to statistics

The correct result of every Premier League Gameweek 29 fixture revealed, according to statistics
It’s always best to expect the unexpected in the Premier League.Liverpool were ahead in the title race before their clash with struggling rivals Everton but instead of defeating them in the Merseyside derby they could only manage a 0-0 draw.Liverpool star Mohamed Salah looks dejected after the Merseyside derby.6
Liverpool star Mohamed Salah looks dejected after the Merseyside derby.
It’s a result which now hands the top spot in the table to Manchester City who beat Bournemouth with ease on Saturday, meanwhile in the north London derby Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang was the villain as he saw a late penalty saved by Hugo Lloris to ensure the match ended 1-1 at Wembley.At the other end of the table, Brighton gave themselves breathing space from the relegation zone while Southampton lost, along with Fulham, Newcastle, Cardiff, Huddersfield, and Burnley. It was, as always, a thrilling weekend of top flight action, but were the results backed up by the performances?Expected goals (xG) is a statistic used to work out how many goals should be scored in a match, with every shot taken given an xG valuebased on the difficulty of the attempt.Based on a number of factors including distance from goal, type of shot and number of defenders, the xG value reveals the likelihood a specific shot will end in a goal; the higher the value, the more likely a goal should be scored from that shot.Mohamed Salah spurned two glorious opportunities against Everton6
Mohamed Salah spurned two glorious opportunities against Everton
The xG valueof every shot in a game is used to calculate the expected goals of a match.Click here to find out more about the calculations used to work outxG.Should a team end with a higher xG than actual goals scored, it is probable they were wasteful in front of goal due to poor finishing or an in-form opposition goalkeeper. If the real goals scored is higher than the xG, the team may have been lucky to score so many in that match, or have an above average finisher scoring hard chances others would miss.So, how did every team perform compared to their xG in the 11th round ofPremier Leaguematches? Find out below thanks to expected goals statistics from Understat.com…

Tottenham vs Arsenal

Real result: 1-1xG result: 1.43-3.48Kane’s controversial penalty cancelled out Ramsey’s opener6
Kane’s controversial penalty cancelled out Ramsey’s opener

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Cardiff

Real result: 2-0xG result: 3.20-0.70

Manchester United vs Southampton

Real result: 3-2xG result: 2.54-0.58James Ward-Prowse was just one of the players to score an outrageous goal at Old Trafford.6
James Ward-Prowse was just one of the players to score an outrageous goal at Old Trafford.

Burnley vs Crystal Palace

Real result: 1-3xG result: 1.70-0.70

Brighton vs Huddersfield

Real result: 1-0xG result: 1.11-0.19

Bournemouth vs Manchester City

Real result: 0-1xG result: 0.00-1.60Man City celebrate their win over the Cherries.6
Man City celebrate their win over the Cherries.

West Ham vs Newcastle United

Real result: 2-0xG result: 1.95-1.16

Watford vs Leicester City

Real result: 2-1xG result: 1.45-0.83

Fulham vs Chelsea

Real result: 1-2xG result: 1.16-1.46Chelsea players celebrate scoring against Fulham.6
Chelsea players celebrate scoring against Fulham.

Everton vs Liverpool

Real result: 0-0xG result: 0.24-0.97


Premier League 2018-19 full fixture list: Gameweek 1 to 38, every match, every team, every date list of every single Premier League fixture in the 2018-19 season to be a Real striker revealed;
Chelsea suffer, Arsenal benefit: Premier League's toughest


The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28 fixture revealed, according to statistics Written by: fpnews Posted on: February 28, 2019 Fans were treated to a bumper set of midweek games with all 20 Premier League teams in action in the Premier League.
The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28
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The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28 fixture revealed, according to statistics. Find out below thanks to expected goals statistics from
The correct result of every Premier League Gameweek 29


xg explains With the help of expected goals, we take a look at how the weekend's matches should have finished It's always best to expect the unexpected in the Premier League. Liverpool were ahead in the title race before their clash with struggling rivals Everton but instead of defeating them in the Merseyside derby they […]
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The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28 fixture revealed, according to statistics With the help of expected goals, we take a look at how the weekend's matches should have finished
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The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28

The correct result of every Premier League gameweek 28


Manchester United and Man City go head-to-head on Sunday in a huge derby clash in the Premier League. It's a fixture which is notoriously unpredictable with the Red Devils beating their rivals at the end of last season to postpone the title celebrations of Pep Guardiola's men.


Predicting Football Results With Statistical Modelling Combining the world's most popular sport with everyone's favourite discrete probability distribution, this post predicts football matches using the Poisson distribution.
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